Tennis Picks – ATP Zagreb and Montpellier – Thursday

Nicolas Mahut – Florian Mayer
Since doing well in Montpellier about 10 years ago, Mahut has failed once and again to do something big here, even though his French and playing at home, where come of his compatriots often thrive the most.

Mayer’s game is better suited for indoors, and he has won their only previous meeting on a surface like the one here, while Mahut made it 1-1 in h2h when winning outdoors on hard court.

Mayer has already dealt with one big, big server in Gilles Muller in the first round, which makes me think he can also overcome Mahut.

Jarkko Nieminen – Paul-Henri Mathieu
Mathieu has been away from the game a long, long time, struggling to get back from injury, and even though he won his first match, one has to wonder how much he’s up for.

Nieminen is a fine indoor-player, and also got off to a good start to the year by taking his 2nd career title before the Australian Open. He leads Mathieu 3-1 in h2h, and that was when Mathieu was fit. I’m going with the Nieminen again.

Ivan Dodig – Guillermo Garcia-Lopez
Yesterday Dodig proved a winning bet and let’s take him on again. Like I said yesterday he’s the defending champion here, and thereby has a lot of points to defend in the ranking.

En route to his title last year he took down Garcia-Lopez on his way. The latter doesn’t appear to be in better shape this time.

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