Some sort of good news (though I feel bad for saying it) saw Richard Hughes banned in India for failing to ride to instructions, an offence we do not have here in the UK and perhaps rightly so as we all prefer a jockey who can sort things out as the race unfolds – or do we? If the ban is upheld he could well miss the first month and not be available until April 29th, so those of us who backed Kieren Fallon to be Champion jockey this morning can only see that as a positive?
Other news saw George Prodromou disqualified for eight years by the BHA for corruption, and assuming he is guilty as charged, I have no sympathy. As a writer and tipster it is certainly hard enough to find winners from the formbook without the less salubrious element trying to influence races by other means. Draconian as it may make me, long live the harsh punishments being dished out to offenders as we need to keep our reputation as the cleanest racing in the world, with the possibility that the next generation of punters could be driven away if they really think the sport is fixed (trust me, it isn’t).
Anyway, enough ranting for one day and on to the racing, and we have some serious action this weekend from Kempton, Chepstow, Newcastle, and Lingfield with decent beasts at every venue.
Chepstow are my first port of call where fuzzy logic comes in to play regarding Champion jockey A P McCoy, the best rider of a horse over hurdles or fences ever, without question, but why is he here exactly? He does have plenty of rides, but just the one for Jonjo O’Neill, and I am taking that as a clue to the chances of Holywell in the maiden hurdle at 2.05pm. Three runs so far have yielded a win and two places (point to points in Ireland and then a novice hurdle at Plumpton), but the last was his first run for a couple of months and his first for the stable. If he has won in the field then this boggy ground should not be a problem for him, and having won over three miles when stamina becomes an issue I would rather have him on my side than not thanks very much!
For a second bet, it could be worth a little on confirmed lunatic Zaynar, a horse of immense talent who simply refuses to put it all in more often than not. Looking at the formbook I have to say the 4.10pm at Kempton is his for the taking IF he is in a going mood though that is the biggest question of the day. Priced at around the 5/1 mark with a bit of luck, he is certainly a spot of value if on a going day though he could equally finish last as first hence the stake!
Finally, (three horses exhausts my brain cells), the Eider chase is always a decent contest and four miles and a furlong over fences will sort the men from the boys. We do not have a distance winner in the field which makes like difficult, but at least my selection has won around here (over three miles), comes here in good form (won last time out), and looks reasonably weighted (has won off five pounds higher before we take in to account his riders five pound claim), making him an each way option at the current odds of 9/1 or bigger.
Sensible bet for Punters
1pt each way NEGUS DE BEAUMONT 3.25pm Newcastle @ 1.75 BET365 200£ Free bets! and others
Silly bets for dreamers:
1pt each way HOLYWELL 2.05pm Chepstow
1pt win ZAYNAR 4.10pm Kempton
Sean Trivass is part of Sirivorracing.com – watch this space for exciting news March 1st 2012!