Football Picks – Germany and Italy – Hungry Hamburg

Basel – Young Boys
Basel in in great form in the Swiss league and has not suffered very much
from having parted with coach Fink, who moved to Hamburger SV recently.

In their last nine league matches they have won eight times, and not
lost oncee. Therefore I dare not entirely exclude that they’ll be victorious here, but I bet that a win will at least be of the modest sort.

The background must be found in that Young Boys are not so easy
to crack down. They’ve have actually already met Basel three times in 2011 where two home matches have ended without a winner, while the visit to Basle was lost with 2-1.

Young Boys led, however, 1-0, and the winning goal was first scored five
minutes before time, after Young Boys had been reduced to 10 men in
the 79th minute.

Young Boys have only conceded four goals in the season’s first seven away matches and only lost a single awawmatch; at Servette’s by 1-0.

Another and perhaps more important reason to focus on Young Boys
is Basel’s coming program. This coming Tuesday evening they have an away match at Otelul Galati’s in Champions League where they still have a lot to play for.

Basel has five points, while Benfica and Manchester United both have eight, and since the latter two meet each other, Basel will invariably be catching up with a victory in Romania. It guaranteed that that must be their priority right now.

Inter – Cagliari
Let us start by making one thing clear: I believe that Inter will win. Neither of their two recent league matches has precented them with a victory, so there’s a need to get back on track, and Cagliari have no great history at the San Siro.

Inter has won nine of the last 11 home matches against this opponent, and not lost a single one. Instead of relying on a pure home win, there is somehing that indicates though that in could be profitable to go after the high odds of a narrow one-goal victory.

Five of the nine aforementioned victories have been by a single goal, and last season Inter won both home and away against Cagliari by 1-0.

To this we add the fact that Claudio Ranieri’s Inter has played 10 matches in various tournaments. Five of these have given victories and the last four have been by just one goal. With an upcoming Champions League match in Turkey, they will also be satisfied with a victory of any size here.

Hamburger SV – Hoffenheim
In the four games since firing their coach, Hamburger SV is undefeated, but still the home crowd is waiting on the first home win of the season, and they must exchange some of their many draws with a win if HSV wishes to escape the basement of the Bundesliga table.

In all three league matches under coach Fink HSV has conceded before scoring themselves, and should we assume the international break has meant some training to prevent this?

Still, there has been plenty of encouragement after Fink’s leadership, and they are fighting hard now to pull away from the bottom and a win must be waiting around the corner.

Hoffenheim seems like a team at present that HSV is able to beat. Their coach Holger Stanislawski was certainly not pleased with
the team’s merits before the break, and they have only picked up a win in six matches.

They have lost their last three away games, all by two goals and they have not been able to win in Hamburg during their time in the Bundesliga.

I dare not quite exclude a draw, and therefore choose to bet the game where half the deposit is returned if the match ends without winner.

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