There is of course litte doubt as to who is the major favourite to win the last tennis Grand Slam-tournament of the year in the men’s competition.
Novak Djokovic has been the man to beat all season, and he’s twice as big a favourite as the next in line, Spaniard Rafael Nadal.
The “Djoker” has conquered almost every Masters-title on this surface in 2011, only missing out on Cincinatti, when he withdrew in the final, and he’s looking at a possible 3rd Grand Slam-title in one season. A massive achievement, but is he worth betting on?
In my opinion a loud and clear no. Not at these odds, with players like Nadal, trying to defend the title, Murray, winning in Cincinatti, and Federer trying to break down the Serb.
I won’t stand in the way of anyone wishing to place their money on him, I just don’t see the value compared to the risk; what happens if his shoulder gives him a hard time like in Cincinatti with he was trailing Murray 4-6 and 0-3 before he gave up?
Nadal will of course be eager to defend to title, but doesn’t look the player he was this time last year, so there are too many questionmarks surrounding him as well. Federer has failed to convince since the French Open, which leaves us with Andy Murray.
He’s often claimed that the US Open is his favourite Grand Slam, and he certainly loves the hard courts in North America, proven once again when winning in Cincinatti.
He’s crashed out too early the last 2 times around, and will be eager to do better, which I’m positive he will. Whether he’ll go all the way and take his first Grand Slam-title remains to be seen, but to me he offers the best value for the money.
A small wager should also at the very least be considered on Mardy Fish, who’s had an incredible season on the hard court-circuit in North America, only falling short in 3 sets to Djokovic in the final in Canada.
US Open winner, odds from Betfair 20£ in Free bets!:
Novak Djokovic 2,76
Rafael Nadal 5,60
Andy Murray 6,20
Roger Federer 7,80
Juan Martin Del Potro 24,00
Jo Wilfried Tsonga 40,00
Mardy Fish 38,00
Robin Söderling 65,00
Tomas Berdych 60,00
Andy Roddick 100,00
John Isner 220,00