For the readers of this tennis column who followed our suggestion on Andy Murray to win the Australian Open at odds 8.50, they have an excellent opportunity to hedge their bets here.
Andy Murray is a big favourite to beat David Ferrer, naturally, since he beat him 6-2 6-2 back in November and since the 3 Ferrer-wins over Murray have all come on clay, while Murray have won their 2 encounters on other surfaces. Like the one in Melbourne.
I’ll keep the money in my pocket when it comes to actual outcome of the match and instead look at some of the specials available with the various bookies, starting with Murray to take the first break of serve.
Ferrer was excellent on his serve against Nadal, and Murray can be rather erratic at times, but often only when’s he’s gained a lead and he’s looked extremely focused during the Australian Open, so I’ll go with the Scot to take the first break.
Moving on to the total number of games, which when set at 38.5 speculates in a long match. However there hasn’t been much to suggest that in their previous 5 meetings. The last 4 of these have all been won in straight sets, and, as mentioned, Murray won in just 16 games only 2 months ago.
Then we move on to speculate whether there will be a tie breaker or not. But we don’t really have to speculate, since Unibet 30€ Bonus! and William Hill 25£ Free bet with code F25 disagrees on how likely it is to see a breaker. Betting on both outcomes with both bookies offers a surebet of 7.44 percent, which means you’ll win 7.44 euro with a stake of 100 euro. And you can’t lose!
Last but not least we’ll go with under 9.5 games in the first set, since Paddy Power 50£ in Free bets! offers 0dds 2.10. In 3 of their last 4 meetings there has been under 9 games in their first set.