Jorge Lorenzo from Champ to Pole in Estoril

Don’t be fooled by the fact that Estoril features the lowest-average speed on the Moto GP circuit scheduler and Jorge Lorenzo already crowned 2010 World Champion.  This race will be anything else than boring!

Only 2 races left of the 2010 MotoGP World Championship, and bwin 20£ in Free bets! Grande Premio de Portugal promises to be a tightly contested affair and the weather (rain?) will play an important part.

Dani Pedrosa, Casey Stoner, Valentino Rossi and Andrea Dovizioso will all fight hard to secure a 2nd place in the standing as Jorge Lorenzo is out of reach after a very impressive season.

MotoGP World Standing 2010

Pos. Rider Bike Nation Points
1 Jorge LORENZO Yamaha SPA 333
2 Dani PEDROSA Honda SPA 228
3 Casey STONER Ducati AUS 205
4 Valentino ROSSI Yamaha ITA 197
5 Andrea DOVIZIOSO Honda ITA 179
6 Ben SPIES Yamaha USA 163
7 Nicky HAYDEN Ducati USA 152

A quick status before we look at the odds for the weekend:

-          Pedrosa is back in the paddock a breaking his collarbone

-          Stoner has got the momentum as currently the hottest rider in Moto GP (3 straight wins)

-           Rossi is brimming of confidence as he is the most successful rider at Estoril

Winner Odds:

Jorge Lorenzo                   3.25       Betfred £50 Free Bet

Casey Stoner                     3.5          Sporting Bet 100£ in Free bets!

Valentino Rossi                3.5          Sporting Bet

Dani Pedrosa                     10           Stan James £150 Free Bet

Andrea Dovizioso            21           Ladbrokes 50£ in Free bets!

Jorge Lorenzo (Yamaha):

You gotta give it to him, what a season this young rider is having! Jorge Lorenzo is the 2010 World Champion, but he’s hungry for more success at a circuit which brings back great memories. He won this race in both 2008 and 2009, from pole position. Lorenzo has been on the pole 14 out of 16 races this season, and he is favourite to win his 8th race of the season.

Pick : Lorenzo Pole Position at 3.00 with Betfred (Will Hill 2.75)

Dani Pedrosa (Honda)

Pedrosa was sitting comfortably in second place until he crashed out breaking his collarbone (was forced him to sit out three rounds). The 25 y.o Pedrosa has stood on the podium at Estoril for the past three years, and he will have to fight hard to keep his 2nd place in the overall standing. No bet for me as I’m not fully convinced Pedrosa is 100% after his injury.

Casey Stoner (Ducati):

In-form Stoner trails Pedrosa by just 13 points, and he has secured three victories from the four previous races. Can he follow up his success from Iveco Australian Grand Prix two weeks ago? This was Stoner’s 23rd career win. Twice been on the podium at Estoril, incl. a 2nd place in 2009.

Valentino Rossi (Yamaha):

The signs are good from the Rossi camp, and he loves this Estoril circuit! He has won here 5 times previously, 9 podium finishes in 10 visits to Estoril – but 4th place in 2009 was a disappointment. The 31 year-old Italian will be well-backed by punters due to 3 straight podium finishes , but is his bike as powerful as it was early on? It’s difficult to find value on Valentino Rossi this weekend although we know he is keen to end the season on a high. I’m currently looking at Rossi for Pole-Position at 5.50 Ladbrokes £50 Free Bet and Bet365 200£ Free bets!, but no bet yet.

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